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book

NASA SEL's Estimation Procedure

Adapted from Manager’s Handbook for Software Development, Revision 1. Document number SEL-84-101.
Greenbelt, Maryland: Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA, 1990.

 Project
 Phase
 Input Data
 for Estimate
 Size
 Estimate
 Effort
 Estimate
 Schedule
 Estimate
 Uncertainty
 Range 1

 End of
 Requirements
 Analysis

  Number of
  Subsystems
  11,000 lines 
  of code2
  per subsystem
3000 hours
per
subsystem
 Multiply number of
 subsystems by 83
 weeks and divide
 by number of staff
 members

  +75%

 -43%

 End of
 Preliminary
 Design
 Number of
 functions and/or
 routines (units)
 190 lines of
 code per unit
 52 hours
 per unit
 Multiply number of
 units by 1.45 weeks
 and divide by number
 of staff members

  +40%

 -29%

 End of
 Detailed
 Design
 Number of
 slightly modified
 (N) or reused
 verbatim (R) units
 Lines of
 code = 200 *
 (N + 0.2R)
 0.31 hours
 per line of
 code
 Multiply lines of code
 by 0.0087 weeks
 and divide by number
 of staff members

 +25%

-20%

 End of
 Implementation

 Current size in
 lines of code

 Effort
 expended
 to date

 Schedule
 expended
 to date

 Add 26% to
 current size
 (for growth
 during testing)
 Add 43% to
 effort already
 expended (to
 compute
 effort to
 complete)
 Add 54% to
 schedule already
 expended

 +10%

-9%

 End of
 System
 Testing
 Effort
 expended
 to date
 Final product
 size has
 been reached
 Add 11% to
 effort already
 expended
 (to compute
 effort to
 complete)
 Add 18% to
 schedule already
 expended

 +5%

-5%

1To allow for staff turnover, growth in requirements, and so on, conservative management practice calls for using estimates
  that lie between the predicted value and the upper bound.

2 "Line of code" includes all source statements, including comments and blank lines

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